Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.852816 5.598305 6.418891 7.389028 8.504651 9.747478 11.237325
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.956480 4.963431 6.165715 7.706646 9.629446 11.950380 14.966550
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.163629 4.271703 5.692444 7.646856 10.266245 13.657542 18.386768
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.786656 4.019153 5.703560 8.172225 11.699185 16.560507 23.780504
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.438406 3.733906 5.609965 8.522183 12.930919 19.361939 29.473668
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.090801 3.382317 5.354498 8.581424 13.732466 21.645803 34.753909
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.713908 2.917277 4.847333 8.163036 13.721617 22.679670 38.250175
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.559489 2.782036 4.833705 8.520358 14.986329 25.876176 45.662322
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.469807 2.739396 4.961862 9.126224 16.743690 30.109746 55.417300
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.334160 2.591569 4.882181 9.347301 17.845334 33.343923 63.852038
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.204221 2.432605 4.756343 9.458718 18.750351 36.326586 72.218623
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.049269 2.200408 4.457859 9.192219 18.887881 37.878237 78.039813
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.900143 1.961189 4.119835 8.815014 18.787761 39.026296 83.381985
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.822788 1.859779 4.045360 8.968674 19.799174 42.540232 94.117492
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.724343 1.696931 3.818488 8.763379 20.018691 44.447497 101.728214
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.694140 1.682666 3.910857 9.275924 21.890902 50.147935 118.539021
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.653408 1.637292 3.926671 9.615646 23.420177 55.300871 134.868227
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.596758 1.544410 3.818832 9.646868 24.228970 58.921048 148.129667
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.516530 1.379819 3.515663 9.155941 23.698692 59.319182 153.634564
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.493177 1.357767 3.559535 9.542855 25.417054 65.389190 174.209799
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.484948 1.374548 3.704053 10.211890 27.959812 73.857543 202.202607
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.456804 1.332381 3.688865 10.453357 29.407204 79.723719 224.175253
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.426037 1.277895 3.632738 10.574271 30.544781 84.931901 245.128542